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QuikCAST
Surf Forecast - Hawaii

5 Day Surf Forecast

Forecast Updated:
 
Saturday, March 20, 2010 4:34 PM GMT

Surf Scale: 3 ft = waist high, 4 ft = chest high, 5 ft = head high, 10 ft =double overhead
Swell Direction is direction swell is coming from. 90°=East, 180°=South, 270°=West, 360-0 = North

NOTE: Forecast does NOT account for enhancing bathymetry (i.e the 'reef effect') common at best breaks. For top spots with swell period 14 +secs, multiply surf size X 1.25-1.5 with peaks X 2 (or consider the stated size 'Hawaiian Scale').

Hawaiian North Shore Surf Forecast
(Valid for the North and East Shores of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Sunday
3/21
Down some E 15+ Background swell 4 ft @ 15 secs 6.0 ft 320 degrees
Monday
3/22
Down  E 10 Swell fading from 4.5 ft @ 12-13 secs 5.5 ft 320 degrees
Tuesday
3/23
Up some ENE 10 New Western Gulf swell to 8.6 ft @ 15 secs 12-13 ft 330 degrees
Wednesday
3/24
Down some   ENE 10+ West Gulf swell fading from 8.2 ft @ 13 secs 10 ft 330 degrees
Thursday
3/25
Down some ENE 10+ Gulf swell dropping from 5.5 ft @ 11-12 secs 6.0 ft 335 degrees
Extended
Outlook
Up slightly ---

The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) is in the Inactive state and expected to continue there through early next month. No direct support for gale development expected from it but El Nino will continue to favor gale and storm formation for a few more months. A solid gale remains modeled on the dateline-Western Gulf Sun/Mon (3/22) with 45 kts winds and 35 ft seas but most energy aimed a bit too far to the east. Still decent swell to possibly results for early next week.  Beyond the models hint at another solid gale developing in the Central Gulf Thurs-Sat (3/27) with energy pushing more east, though some sideband energy should track towards the Islands.

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Surf Height Animation: Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Wind Animations:
Northeast Pacific - Hawaii
Local Model: Surf - Wind

Hawaiian South Shore Surf Forecast
(Centered on the South Shore of Oahu)
Day Trend Wind
(kts)
Details
(Swell Number, Swell Size & Period, Arrival Time and Profile)
Waves
(Set wave max face height)
Swell Direction
Sunday
3/21
Down slightly E 15+ New Zealand Swell #1S fading from 3.6 ft @ 17-18 secs early 6.5+ ft   190 degrees
Monday
3/22
Down some E 10 New Zealand Swell #1S fading from 3.0 ft @ 15 secs 4.5+ ft   190 degrees
Tuesday
3/23
Down some ENE 10 Southern hemi swell fading from 2.3 ft @ 13-14 secs early 3.5 ft   190 degrees
Wednesday
3/24
Down some ENE 10+ Southern hemi swell fading from 2.0 ft @ 13-14 secs early 3.0 ft   190 degrees
Thursday
3/25
Down some ENE 10+ Southern hemi swell fading from 2.0 ft @ 13 secs early 2.5 ft   190 degrees
Extended
Outlook
Down --- A strong early season storm formed just southeast of New Zealand Sat/Sun (3/14) with 50 kt winds and seas modeled  up to 46 ft, though 40 ft was only confirmed. Regardless, real southern hemi swell i starting to hit on Saturday and expected to continue well into the week. Nothing forecast behind it though.

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